Mumaawa ekutanga eChina mangwanani nguva yeBeijing, iyo Federal Reserve yakazivisa danho rayo remubereko munaNovember, ichifunga kukwidza huwandu hwemari yemubatanidzwa nemakumi manomwe neshanu mapoinzi kusvika pa3.75% -4.00%, yechina inoteedzana yakapinza 75 base point rate. kukwira kubva munaJune, pamwe nehuwandu hwemari inokwira kusvika kune imwe itsva kubva munaJanuary 2008. Sachigaro weFed Jerome Powell akati pamusangano wepepanhau wakatevera kuti kukurumidza kwehuwandu hwekuwedzera kunogona kuderedzwa muna December, asi kuti kukwira kwekukwira kwechinguva chiduku. zvinotarisirwa kunetsa, kuti inguva isati yakwana kumbomira kukwira kwemitengo, uye kuti chinangwa chekupedzisira chechiyero chemutemo chayo chingave chakakwira kupfuura chaitarisirwa.Nezvekunetsekana kwekunze nezve njodzi yekuderera kwehupfumi, Powell akati kunyangwe achitenda kuti Fed "inogona kuramba" inowana kudzika kwakadzikama, asi mugwagwa "wakatetepa".Powell nezve chekupedzisira chemubereko chinotarirwa chingave chakakwira kupfuura chaitarisirwa uye chirevo chekushaya tariro chekumhara chakapfava chakava chimwe chezvinokonzeresa kupera kwekunyura mumasheya eUS, mitengo yegoridhe yepasirese yakamhanya ichidzokera pasi, indekisi yedhora ichidzokera ku112 mark. , goho reUS bond rakakwira kusvika pakakwirira-mavhiki maviri.

Huya kuzoona kukanganiswa kweiyo Federal Reserve rate kukwira pamusika wekotoni, nekuda kwekukwira kukuru kwave kugayiwa pachine nguva, sarudzo yakaburitswa mushure mekumhara kwakashata, zvibvumirano zvitatu zvekutanga mumusika weUS zvakwira, zvimwe zvibvumirano. yakasimukawo kune zvakasiyana-siyana.Uye tarisa kumashure kashanu kubva gore rino kuwedzera kwakawedzera mubereko, ICE donje remangwana uye Zheng donje rakasimuka kana, iro musika wekunze wakakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura musika wepamba, ukuwo kuwedzera kukuru kwemusika wekunze mushure meizvi. kukwira kwemitengo, nguva yeNew York yave mazuva maviri akateedzana ekumisa makotesheni, ayo akaramba achidonha padyo ne70 cents / pound mukutanga kwemusika, uye inotarisirwa kunonoka kukurumidza kwekuwedzera kwemitengo mushure meFed munaNovember. , musika wakaderera kutenga mumusika uye zvimwe zvinhu Zvinoenderana neiyo June mwero kukwira uye tapering chirongwa mushure mekunge musika wadzikira.Uye kubva kuFed rate inokwira mushure menguva yakareba yemaitiro emusika, kunze kwekukwira kwaJuly mukutevera, mamwe ose emhando dzakasiyana-siyana dzakakwira dzave kudiwa kwemusika kunotarisirwa kupera simba, mitengo yekotoni inoramba ichidonha seyo huru. simba rekutyaira.

Uku kukwira kweFed rate kungangove kwekupedzisira kwakakosha kukwira mukutenderera kwazvino, asi mubereko wemhindu ungangove wakakwira kupfuura zvinotarisirwa.Sekureva kweChicagoland CME Interest Rate Watch chishandiso, musika parizvino unotarisira kuti huwandu hwazvino hwekukwira huchakwira muna Chivabvu gore rinouya, paine mubereko wechikamu che5.00% -5.25% uye yepakati terminal rate inokwira kusvika pa5.08%.Iyo Fed inodzivirira chikanganiso chekusasimbisa zvakakwana kana kubuda kuomesa nekukurumidza.Iyi nhevedzano yezvirevo kumusika kuburitsa chiratidzo ndeiyi: kuomesa kunyangwe paine kuderera, asi zvakare usave nekusahadzika nezvekutsunga kwedu kukwidza mitengo yemubereko.Iko kuchangobva kukwira kwemafuta asina kuchena uye mitengo yezvokudya kana kugadzikana kwemaitiro, kukwira kwemari kwepamusoro muUnited States kwakaoma kurerutsa zvakanyanya munguva pfupi, nepo United States ichaunza pakati pegore sarudzo mwedzi uno, saka Fed ichaenderera mberi. ratidza kutsunga kudzikisa inflation, asi zvakare haugone kurega data rehupfumi richidzika zvakanyanya mumamiriro ezvinhu, izvo zvingave zvakare chirevo "zvese zvakasununguka uye zvakasimba" zveKupokana nhema.Uye kukanganisa kwaro pamusika wekotoni, kuderera kwekumanikidza kunotarisirwa kuve kushoma pane yakare mubereko inokwira, asi iyo yakazara mubereko inokwira, iyo balance sheet inosimbisa, kushandiswa kwekugara kuchiri kudzvinyirirwa kwenguva refu.Hurumende yeUS nguva pfupi yadarika yakazivisawo mari inosvika mabhiriyoni mana nemazana mashanu emadhora kubatsira kubatsira kudzikisira mitengo yekudziisa kumhuri dzemuAmerica munguva ino yechando uye madhora mabhiriyoni mapfumbamwe emari yehurumende kubva kumutemo weInflation Reduction Act yekuvandudza kushandiswa kwemagetsi epamba kuitira kuti vakunde musarudzo dzepakati petemu.Nemari yehurumende “inodhonza mavhoti,” zvinotarisirwa kuti kudzikira kwenguva pfupi kuri kutarisirwa kudzikira zvishoma, asi maitiro enguva refu anonetsa kuchinja.
Nhau kunobva: Textile Network